Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Wright 43.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.6%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 62.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 71.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Scheifele
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Scheifele
Wright
Last 5: Scheifele 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,077)
42.7% (1,326)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.2% (2,576)
45.1% (133)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
33.3% (6)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Scheifele is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,390).
Scheifele shoots right. Wright is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Wright
Home
48.9% (7,678)
44.2% (746)
Away
44.7% (7,574)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Scheifele
Wright
P1
48.2%
44.5%
P2
45.6%
40.5%
P3
46.8%
44.0%
OT
42.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |