Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Lorentz 49.5% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 82.6%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 70.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 52.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Scheifele
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
51.4% (74)
-4.9%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
50.0% (2)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
42.3% (26)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Lorentz is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Lorentz
Home
46.6% (605)
52.9% (68)
Away
47.4% (555)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Scheifele
Lorentz
P1
52.3%
58.6%
P2
45.3%
45.0%
P3
43.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%