Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Gourde 46.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 81.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 68.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Scheifele
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Scheifele
Gourde
Last 10: Scheifele 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
6
1
Scheifele
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
4
Scheifele
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
3
Scheifele
Gourde
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
47.2% (687)
-0.7%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
45.0% (20)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
33.0% (88)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Gourde
Home
46.6% (605)
44.4% (356)
Away
47.4% (555)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Scheifele
Gourde
P1
52.3%
42.2%
P2
45.3%
50.0%
P3
43.9%
44.5%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |