Mark Scheifele vs Zemgus Girgensons

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mark Scheifele holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Scheifele 47.2% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Scheifele 76.4%
Defensive zone Girgensons 76.6%
Neutral zone Scheifele 51.0%
Result Zemgus Girgensons favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Scheifele Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 1 (2 meetings)
1
1
Scheifele Girgensons

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele Girgensons
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Scheifele
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
45.1% (164)
+1.4%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
50.0% (2)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
45.2% (31)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +4.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Girgensons is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Girgensons
Home
46.6% (605)
44.6% (92)
Away
47.4% (555)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Scheifele
Girgensons
P1
52.3%
44.2%
P2
45.3%
46.0%
P3
43.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
38.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%
54.0%
47.0%
Girgensons
58.0%
44.5%
45.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 29, 2026 3 13:32 Defensive Mark Scheifele
Jan 29, 2026 1 15:38 Defensive Zemgus Girgensons