Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 46.8% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 82.5%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 93.1%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 69.9%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Erat
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Erat
Pahlsson
Last 5: Erat 3-2 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
3
0
Erat
Pahlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
1
Erat
Pahlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
1
Erat
Pahlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (321)
53.0% (1,716)
-6.3%
Power Play
45.5% (101)
60.0% (35)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
49.8% (548)
-8.4%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Erat shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,644).
Home / Away
Erat
Pahlsson
Home
53.2% (252)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
37.2% (199)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Erat
Pahlsson
P1
43.4%
54.6%
P2
45.8%
50.7%
P3
50.0%
51.8%
OT
16.7%
44.8%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |