Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 46.8% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 53.1%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 87.5%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 71.9%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Erat
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Erat
Horcoff
Last 8: Erat 5-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
5
0
Erat
Horcoff
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Erat
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Erat
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (321)
50.6% (3,133)
-3.9%
Power Play
45.5% (101)
51.4% (555)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
43.0% (567)
-1.6%
On power play, Horcoff has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Erat shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Erat
Horcoff
Home
53.2% (252)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
37.2% (199)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Erat
Horcoff
P1
43.4%
48.2%
P2
45.8%
49.5%
P3
50.0%
50.9%
OT
16.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |