Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Erat wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 46.8% vs Zajac 54.2% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 94.4%
Defensive zone
Erat 77.5%
Neutral zone
Erat 87.7%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Erat
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Erat
Zajac
Last 9: Erat 2-7 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Erat
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
6
Erat
Zajac
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (321)
54.4% (9,056)
-7.7%
Power Play
45.5% (101)
59.1% (1,498)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
48.6% (1,599)
-7.2%
On power play, Zajac has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Erat is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Erat shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Erat
Zajac
Home
53.2% (252)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
37.2% (199)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Erat
Zajac
P1
43.4%
53.8%
P2
45.8%
55.6%
P3
50.0%
53.6%
OT
16.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |