Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Zacha 49.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 57.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 57.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Hanzal
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hanzal
Zacha
Last 9: Hanzal 4-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Hanzal
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Hanzal
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
1
Hanzal
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
48.8% (4,953)
+5.2%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
55.8% (788)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
42.0% (547)
+4.0%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Hanzal shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,816).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Zacha
Home
55.1% (3,687)
49.6% (3,278)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
48.5% (3,010)
By Period
Hanzal
Zacha
P1
54.9%
49.9%
P2
53.6%
49.1%
P3
52.4%
47.9%
OT
56.5%
54.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |