Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 49.2% vs Poehling 48.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 61.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 84.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 65.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Necas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Necas
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
0
Necas
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (15)
50.4% (680)
+2.9%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
58.3% (12)
-38.3%
On power play, Poehling has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Necas is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Necas shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Necas
Poehling
Home
41.7% (12)
47.4% (422)
Away
50.0% (8)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Necas
Poehling
P1
37.5%
53.3%
P2
55.6%
40.3%
P3
0.0%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.0%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Martin Necas |