Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Necas wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 60.8%
Defensive zone
Bennett 65.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 64.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Necas
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Necas
Bennett
Last 9: Necas 5-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Necas
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Necas
2
1
Necas
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Necas
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
46.8% (5,714)
-6.1%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
53.6% (558)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
41.8% (256)
+12.3%
On power play, Bennett has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Necas shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,269).
Home / Away
Necas
Bennett
Home
39.2% (492)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
43.0% (477)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Necas
Bennett
P1
39.9%
48.0%
P2
40.6%
46.5%
P3
43.3%
46.8%
OT
41.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
42.7%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |