Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Necas wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 51.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 56.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Necas
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Necas
Stamkos
Last 6: Necas 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Necas
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Necas
1
0
Necas
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
50.5% (9,825)
-9.8%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
55.2% (1,729)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
49.6% (827)
+4.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Necas is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Necas shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Necas
Stamkos
Home
39.2% (492)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
43.0% (477)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Necas
Stamkos
P1
39.9%
49.2%
P2
40.6%
52.7%
P3
43.3%
50.9%
OT
41.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 18:15 | Neutral | Martin Necas |