Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Necas wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Nosek 53.6% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 88.6%
Defensive zone
Necas 53.6%
Neutral zone
Necas 79.5%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Necas
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Necas
Nosek
Last 5: Necas 1-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Necas
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Necas
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
54.9% (2,710)
-14.2%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
45.8% (48)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
47.2% (428)
+6.9%
On even strength, Nosek has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Necas shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Necas
Nosek
Home
39.2% (492)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
43.0% (477)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Necas
Nosek
P1
39.9%
52.2%
P2
40.6%
54.1%
P3
43.3%
54.7%
OT
41.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | OT | 04:59 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Martin Necas |