Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Necas wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 47.6% vs Gourde 49.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 70.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 74.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.1%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Necas
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Necas
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
0
Necas
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Necas
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (57)
49.1% (731)
-5.2%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
54.3% (81)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
48.2% (85)
+18.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Necas is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Necas shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Necas
Gourde
Home
44.9% (49)
50.9% (479)
Away
44.4% (36)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Necas
Gourde
P1
40.5%
51.2%
P2
45.5%
49.8%
P3
52.6%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
44.7%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Martin Necas |