Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Reasoner wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Downie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 53.7% vs Downie 47.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Downie 74.0%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 81.0%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 51.2%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Reasoner
Downie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Reasoner
Downie
Last 6: Reasoner 3-3 Downie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Downie
0
2
Reasoner
Downie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
3
1
Reasoner
Downie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (1,642)
48.1% (131)
+7.6%
Power Play
56.9% (72)
43.7% (71)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (413)
0.0% (1)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Reasoner has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Reasoner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (766).
Reasoner shoots left. Downie is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Downie
Home
55.4% (1,032)
49.5% (93)
Away
52.4% (1,123)
43.6% (110)
By Period
Reasoner
Downie
P1
53.1%
41.8%
P2
53.1%
38.6%
P3
55.3%
60.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Steve Downie |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |