Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.0%). Howden wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.7% vs McTavish 49.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 64.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 62.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 51.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Howden
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Howden
McTavish
Last 8: Howden 6-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (397)
47.6% (617)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
57.8% (102)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
33.3% (6)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Howden is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Howden shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Home / Away
Howden
McTavish
Home
46.2% (212)
52.2% (389)
Away
52.7% (237)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Howden
McTavish
P1
50.7%
50.2%
P2
51.9%
47.9%
P3
48.5%
49.0%
OT
26.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
42.0%▼
45.0%
49.7%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Brett Howden |