Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 79.2%
Defensive zone
McTavish 54.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 66.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
McTavish
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McTavish
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
McTavish
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
53.3% (807)
-5.7%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
47.6% (42)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.3% (147)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
McTavish
Zibanejad
Home
52.2% (391)
49.8% (466)
Away
45.2% (336)
54.0% (530)
By Period
McTavish
Zibanejad
P1
50.2%
52.9%
P2
47.7%
51.2%
P3
49.2%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |