Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Paul 53.6% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 61.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 61.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
McTavish
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
53.7% (354)
-6.1%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
59.0% (61)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
52.9% (34)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
McTavish shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
McTavish
Paul
Home
52.2% (391)
55.1% (216)
Away
45.2% (336)
53.6% (233)
By Period
McTavish
Paul
P1
50.2%
54.9%
P2
47.7%
54.5%
P3
49.2%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%