Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Roy 51.9% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 73.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.3%
Neutral zone
McTavish 52.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
McTavish
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
51.9% (547)
-4.3%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
54.1% (37)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
53.3% (92)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
McTavish
Roy
Home
52.2% (391)
54.0% (328)
Away
45.2% (336)
50.6% (348)
By Period
McTavish
Roy
P1
50.2%
53.5%
P2
47.7%
51.6%
P3
49.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%