Mason McTavish vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Danault 54.5% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 73.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 65.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
McTavish
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McTavish
Danault
Last 7: McTavish 3-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
4
McTavish
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
56.2% (745)
-8.6%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
45.1% (51)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.6% (124)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
McTavish shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
McTavish
Danault
Home
52.2% (391)
56.7% (402)
Away
45.2% (336)
53.7% (518)
By Period
McTavish
Danault
P1
50.2%
55.5%
P2
47.7%
54.2%
P3
49.2%
55.2%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |