Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Thomas 51.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 62.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 60.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
McTavish
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McTavish
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
McTavish
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
50.3% (652)
-2.7%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
61.5% (104)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
54.2% (120)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
McTavish
Thomas
Home
52.2% (391)
52.0% (400)
Away
45.2% (336)
52.3% (476)
By Period
McTavish
Thomas
P1
50.2%
49.6%
P2
47.7%
55.4%
P3
49.2%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |