Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Hartman 45.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 55.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 67.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 52.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
McTavish
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McTavish
Hartman
Last 7: McTavish 3-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
McTavish
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
45.1% (874)
+2.5%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
47.4% (95)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.5% (16)
-4.2%
On power play, McTavish has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
McTavish
Hartman
Home
52.2% (391)
45.0% (515)
Away
45.2% (336)
45.3% (470)
By Period
McTavish
Hartman
P1
50.2%
47.3%
P2
47.7%
40.1%
P3
49.2%
48.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |