Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Pinto 51.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 73.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 79.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 57.7%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
McTavish
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McTavish
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
McTavish
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
50.5% (556)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
68.0% (25)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.1% (94)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
McTavish
Pinto
Home
52.2% (391)
50.0% (310)
Away
45.2% (336)
52.3% (365)
By Period
McTavish
Pinto
P1
50.2%
51.8%
P2
47.7%
49.8%
P3
49.2%
53.1%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |