Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 58.5%
Defensive zone
McTavish 64.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 68.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
McTavish
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McTavish
Wright
Last 5: McTavish 3-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
McTavish
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
1
McTavish
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (618)
39.7% (461)
+7.9%
Power Play
58.3% (103)
41.0% (61)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
McTavish
Wright
Home
52.2% (391)
39.5% (286)
Away
45.2% (336)
40.1% (237)
By Period
McTavish
Wright
P1
50.2%
40.2%
P2
47.7%
36.7%
P3
49.2%
42.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Shane Wright |