Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Domi 50.6% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 57.6%
Defensive zone
Domi 68.5%
Neutral zone
Domi 68.0%
Result
Max Domi favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Barzal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barzal
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
49.8% (297)
-8.9%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
60.0% (30)
-25.8%
On power play, Domi has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Barzal shoots right. Domi is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Barzal
Domi
Home
39.2% (250)
51.1% (184)
Away
41.3% (264)
50.3% (143)
By Period
Barzal
Domi
P1
46.3%
45.9%
P2
36.7%
51.8%
P3
38.5%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |