Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barzal wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Hischier 55.4% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 56.5%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Barzal
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Barzal
Hischier
Last 10: Barzal 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
2
Barzal
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
4
Barzal
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
55.5% (1,172)
-14.6%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
64.5% (265)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
43.9% (164)
-15.3%
On power play, Hischier has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Barzal shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Barzal
Hischier
Home
39.2% (250)
56.8% (791)
Away
41.3% (264)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Barzal
Hischier
P1
46.3%
56.0%
P2
36.7%
58.6%
P3
38.5%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |