Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kane shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Kane 39.3% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 60.1%
Defensive zone
Barzal 87.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 64.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Barzal
Kane
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Barzal
Kane
Last 7: Barzal 6-1 Kane
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Kane
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
4
0
Barzal
Kane
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Kane
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,571)
38.0% (669)
+3.9%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
34.0% (97)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
71.4% (7)
-29.1%
On penalty kill, Kane has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kane shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Barzal shoots right. Kane is 34.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Barzal
Kane
Home
43.2% (1,901)
39.1% (384)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
36.7% (392)
By Period
Barzal
Kane
P1
40.6%
41.9%
P2
44.6%
33.5%
P3
41.1%
38.8%
OT
27.6%
30.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Patrick Kane |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |