Mathew Barzal vs Phillip Danault

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Phillip Danault holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barzal 41.9% vs Danault 54.5% (-14.7%)
Offensive zone Barzal 59.8%
Defensive zone Danault 78.1%
Neutral zone Danault 57.5%
Result Phillip Danault favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Barzal Danault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barzal
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
56.2% (745)
-15.3%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
45.1% (51)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
51.6% (124)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +23.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Danault shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Barzal shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Barzal
Danault
Home
39.2% (250)
56.7% (402)
Away
41.3% (264)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Barzal
Danault
P1
46.3%
55.5%
P2
36.7%
54.2%
P3
38.5%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.1%
56.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%
45.0%
40.3%
Danault
50.0%
54.5%
55.0%