Mathew Barzal vs Ryan Strome

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Strome holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barzal 41.9% vs Strome 45.9% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone Strome 50.1%
Defensive zone Strome 51.9%
Neutral zone Strome 50.4%
Result Ryan Strome favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Barzal Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barzal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
45.4% (315)
-4.5%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
35.7% (28)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
50.0% (4)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +21.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Strome shoots right. Barzal is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Barzal shoots right. Strome is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Barzal
Strome
Home
39.2% (250)
42.6% (188)
Away
41.3% (264)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Barzal
Strome
P1
46.3%
38.6%
P2
36.7%
48.4%
P3
38.5%
46.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
45.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%
45.0%
40.3%
Strome
50.0%
45.0%
44.7%