Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barzal wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Bennett 48.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 56.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.8%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Barzal
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Barzal
Bennett
Last 6: Barzal 3-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Barzal
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
2
Barzal
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
46.4% (811)
-5.5%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
56.9% (153)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
47.8% (46)
-19.2%
On power play, Bennett has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Barzal shoots right. Bennett is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Barzal
Bennett
Home
39.2% (250)
49.9% (553)
Away
41.3% (264)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Barzal
Bennett
P1
46.3%
47.4%
P2
36.7%
46.8%
P3
38.5%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |