Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Laughton 55.9% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 74.7%
Defensive zone
Laughton 89.3%
Neutral zone
Laughton 57.1%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 89.3%
10.7%
89.3%
Barzal
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barzal
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
54.5% (488)
-13.6%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
85.7% (7)
-51.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
63.4% (142)
-34.8%
On power play, Laughton has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Barzal shoots right. Laughton is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Barzal
Laughton
Home
39.2% (250)
57.5% (275)
Away
41.3% (264)
56.4% (362)
By Period
Barzal
Laughton
P1
46.3%
56.0%
P2
36.7%
61.8%
P3
38.5%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |