Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Aho 50.5% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Aho 56.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 62.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Barzal
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
50.5% (878)
-9.6%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
53.5% (144)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
44.3% (61)
-15.7%
On power play, Aho has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Barzal shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Barzal
Aho
Home
39.2% (250)
53.8% (571)
Away
41.3% (264)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Barzal
Aho
P1
46.3%
49.0%
P2
36.7%
51.7%
P3
38.5%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
41.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%