Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Aho 50.4% (-10.8%)
Offensive zone
Aho 57.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 63.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Barzal
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (456)
50.5% (647)
-10.1%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
54.2% (131)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
38.1% (42)
-9.5%
On power play, Aho has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Barzal shoots right. Aho is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Barzal
Aho
Home
38.0% (242)
53.9% (445)
Away
41.3% (259)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Barzal
Aho
P1
46.6%
48.7%
P2
35.4%
51.4%
P3
38.0%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
40.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%