Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.5% vs Pinto 51.1% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 82.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 58.8%
Neutral zone
Barzal 66.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Barzal
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barzal
Pinto
Last 6: Barzal 2-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
0
Barzal
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Barzal
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Barzal
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (465)
50.5% (556)
-10.1%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
68.0% (25)
-33.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
51.1% (94)
-22.5%
On power play, Pinto has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Barzal is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Barzal shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Barzal
Pinto
Home
38.2% (246)
50.0% (310)
Away
41.3% (264)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Barzal
Pinto
P1
46.3%
51.8%
P2
35.7%
49.8%
P3
38.1%
53.1%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
38.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |