Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Pinto 50.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 86.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 58.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 71.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Barzal
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Barzal
Pinto
Last 7: Barzal 2-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Barzal
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Barzal
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,571)
50.7% (2,752)
-8.8%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
54.4% (90)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
45.6% (239)
-3.3%
On power play, Pinto has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Barzal is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,098).
Barzal shoots right. Pinto is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Barzal
Pinto
Home
43.2% (1,901)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Barzal
Pinto
P1
40.6%
48.4%
P2
44.6%
51.9%
P3
41.1%
50.9%
OT
27.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |