Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.0% vs 42.9%). Barzal wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Wright 43.3% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Wright 50.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Barzal
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,571)
42.7% (1,326)
-0.8%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
45.1% (133)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
33.3% (6)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Barzal is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,098).
Barzal shoots right. Wright is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wright
Home
43.2% (1,901)
44.2% (746)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Barzal
Wright
P1
40.6%
44.5%
P2
44.6%
40.5%
P3
41.1%
44.0%
OT
27.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%