Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.3% vs 39.8%). Barzal wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Wright 41.4% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Wright 57.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 61.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.7%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Barzal
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
39.7% (461)
+1.2%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
41.0% (61)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Barzal is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Barzal shoots right. Wright is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Barzal
Wright
Home
39.2% (250)
39.5% (286)
Away
41.3% (264)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Barzal
Wright
P1
46.3%
40.2%
P2
36.7%
36.7%
P3
38.5%
42.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%