Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Barzal wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Blueger 50.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 86.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 83.0%
Neutral zone
Blueger 62.4%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Barzal
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Barzal
Blueger
Last 10: Barzal 5-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
9
0
Barzal
Blueger
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
3
8
Barzal
Blueger
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
4
7
Barzal
Blueger
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,571)
52.2% (3,582)
-10.3%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
50.6% (77)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
42.7% (1,103)
-0.4%
On even strength, Blueger has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Barzal shoots right. Blueger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,529).
Home / Away
Barzal
Blueger
Home
43.2% (1,901)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Barzal
Blueger
P1
40.6%
49.2%
P2
44.6%
52.2%
P3
41.1%
48.6%
OT
27.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:36 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |