Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.0% vs 41.2%). Barzal wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Ennis 41.7% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Barzal
Ennis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,571)
40.7% (1,404)
+1.2%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
45.5% (167)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
38.1% (21)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Barzal shoots right. Ennis is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Barzal
Ennis
Home
43.2% (1,901)
43.6% (834)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
38.4% (760)
By Period
Barzal
Ennis
P1
40.6%
39.4%
P2
44.6%
43.1%
P3
41.1%
41.7%
OT
27.6%
31.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.2%