Mathew Barzal vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 81.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 79.8%
Neutral zone
Barzal 82.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Barzal
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Barzal
Trocheck
Last 10: Barzal 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Barzal
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Barzal
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Barzal
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
58.0% (666)
-17.1%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
64.8% (165)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
43.4% (152)
-14.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Barzal is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Barzal shoots right. Trocheck is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Barzal
Trocheck
Home
39.2% (250)
55.3% (436)
Away
41.3% (264)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Barzal
Trocheck
P1
46.3%
56.4%
P2
36.7%
58.7%
P3
38.5%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |