Mathew Barzal vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-17.3%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 51.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 68.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Barzal
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
58.5% (135)
-17.6%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
80.0% (5)
-45.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
44.4% (18)
-15.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Barzal shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Barzal
Karlsson
Home
39.2% (250)
63.7% (91)
Away
41.3% (264)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Barzal
Karlsson
P1
46.3%
54.4%
P2
36.7%
66.7%
P3
38.5%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%