Mathew Barzal vs William Nylander
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Nylander 44.2% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 61.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 69.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Barzal
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
39.4% (66)
+1.5%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
0.0% (6)
+34.2%
On power play, Barzal has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Barzal is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Barzal shoots right. Nylander is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Barzal
Nylander
Home
39.2% (250)
42.1% (38)
Away
41.3% (264)
29.4% (34)
By Period
Barzal
Nylander
P1
46.3%
33.3%
P2
36.7%
32.3%
P3
38.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
41.1%
18.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.1%