Mathieu Joseph vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 46.6% vs McCarron 52.1% (-24.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joseph 69.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 76.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 53.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Joseph
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Joseph
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Joseph
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
31.3% (16)
52.8% (697)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
52.6% (211)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Joseph is 16.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Joseph shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Joseph
McCarron
Home
25.0% (8)
52.8% (477)
Away
30.0% (10)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Joseph
McCarron
P1
40.0%
56.2%
P2
30.0%
52.4%
P3
0.0%
48.7%
Final 5 min
20.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
44.0%▲
41.5%
27.8%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |