Mathieu Perreault vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 50.8% vs Hertl 54.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Perreault 59.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 53.2%
Neutral zone
Perreault 50.0%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Perreault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Perreault
Hertl
Last 10: Perreault 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
3
0
Perreault
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Perreault
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Perreault
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (2,465)
53.9% (8,303)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.2% (454)
59.2% (1,995)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (25)
46.3% (806)
-2.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Perreault is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,810).
Perreault shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Perreault
Hertl
Home
52.1% (1,474)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
49.6% (1,482)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Perreault
Hertl
P1
52.4%
53.6%
P2
48.6%
54.2%
P3
51.8%
55.3%
OT
43.3%
46.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |