Scouting Report
Ryan Reaves holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Zuccarello wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reaves shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zuccarello 40.6% vs Reaves 45.3% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Zuccarello 63.9%
Defensive zone
Reaves 54.1%
Neutral zone
Reaves 50.9%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Zuccarello
Reaves
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zuccarello
Reaves
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (439)
43.8% (217)
-4.4%
Power Play
36.1% (61)
36.8% (19)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Reaves has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reaves shoots right. Zuccarello is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Zuccarello shoots left. Reaves is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Zuccarello
Reaves
Home
38.6% (272)
46.8% (111)
Away
39.0% (249)
40.2% (127)
By Period
Zuccarello
Reaves
P1
36.6%
41.9%
P2
36.3%
40.4%
P3
44.9%
49.2%
Final 5 min
30.2%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zuccarello
50.0%▲
42.0%
38.8%
Reaves
34.0%▼
42.5%
43.3%