Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Boldy on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boldy wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boldy 48.1% vs Johnston 49.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 79.7%
Defensive zone
Johnston 81.0%
Neutral zone
Boldy 52.3%
Result
Matt Boldy favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Boldy
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Boldy
Johnston
Last 8: Boldy 4-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
4
1
Boldy
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Boldy
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Boldy
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boldy
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (322)
49.3% (2,024)
-1.2%
Power Play
47.3% (131)
52.7% (165)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
44.6% (233)
-4.6%
On power play, Johnston has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Boldy is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Boldy shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Boldy
Johnston
Home
46.8% (265)
49.4% (1,211)
Away
48.8% (203)
48.7% (1,211)
By Period
Boldy
Johnston
P1
43.2%
49.7%
P2
50.3%
48.5%
P3
51.1%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boldy
52.0%▲
45.5%
47.6%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |