Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Coronato 43.1% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 79.7%
Defensive zone
Kasper 96.4%
Neutral zone
Kasper 85.5%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Kasper
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kasper
Coronato
Last 5: Kasper 5-0 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Coronato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
0
Kasper
Coronato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
38.0% (121)
+13.4%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
43.8% (32)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
0.0% (2)
+31.6%
On penalty kill, Kasper has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Kasper is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Kasper shoots left. Coronato is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Kasper
Coronato
Home
51.5% (194)
38.9% (72)
Away
48.5% (200)
38.6% (83)
By Period
Kasper
Coronato
P1
54.1%
50.0%
P2
52.1%
35.4%
P3
43.4%
30.2%
Final 5 min
42.5%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Coronato
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |