Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Coronato wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 42.2% vs Beniers 46.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 82.8%
Defensive zone
Beniers 62.4%
Neutral zone
Coronato 68.1%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Coronato
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Coronato
Beniers
Last 7: Coronato 2-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
2
0
Coronato
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
4
Coronato
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Coronato
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (262)
46.5% (3,825)
-8.3%
Power Play
47.1% (70)
47.8% (360)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
41.4% (111)
-41.4%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Coronato is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Coronato shoots right. Beniers is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Home / Away
Coronato
Beniers
Home
39.8% (176)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
39.9% (158)
44.0% (2,101)
By Period
Coronato
Beniers
P1
41.9%
47.2%
P2
37.6%
47.0%
P3
38.5%
45.7%
OT
100.0%
34.8%
Final 5 min
43.7%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
40.0%▲
38.5%
39.8%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |