Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.7% vs Duchene 61.5% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 68.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 77.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 74.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Cizikas
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Cizikas
Duchene
Last 8: Cizikas 1-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Cizikas
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Cizikas
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Cizikas
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (676)
62.2% (802)
-11.5%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
67.3% (153)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (157)
59.4% (143)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cizikas is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Cizikas shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Duchene
Home
49.8% (486)
66.5% (555)
Away
49.4% (360)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Cizikas
Duchene
P1
50.6%
63.2%
P2
46.0%
59.6%
P3
52.4%
65.0%
OT
45.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
46.9%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
49.6%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |