Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 84.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Duchene
Zibanejad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
50.1% (1,051)
+3.8%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
58.3% (120)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.9% (227)
+58.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zibanejad
Home
54.9% (113)
49.0% (681)
Away
51.4% (146)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Duchene
Zibanejad
P1
54.9%
49.9%
P2
52.7%
47.6%
P3
51.9%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
60.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.5%