Matt Duchene vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 35 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Backlund 49.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 51-47 in 98 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 76.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 59.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Duchene
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
47
(98 meetings)
51
47
Duchene
Backlund
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
28
7
Duchene
Backlund
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
11
23
Duchene
Backlund
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
12
17
Duchene
Backlund
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,438)
49.7% (13,463)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.0% (1,677)
51.5% (1,338)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
43.9% (2,465)
+5.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Duchene shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Duchene
Backlund
Home
55.6% (6,430)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
52.7% (6,177)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Duchene
Backlund
P1
54.4%
48.5%
P2
54.5%
50.3%
P3
53.4%
48.4%
OT
56.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |