Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Modano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Modano 48.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Duchene
Modano
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Duchene
Modano
Last 5: Duchene 3-2 Modano
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Modano
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Modano
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Modano
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Modano
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (10,249)
47.7% (266)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.9% (1,620)
100.0% (5)
-43.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (467)
0.0% (2)
+49.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Modano shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (7,938).
Duchene shoots left. Modano is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Duchene
Modano
Home
55.6% (6,270)
51.1% (139)
Away
52.7% (6,090)
45.9% (135)
By Period
Duchene
Modano
P1
54.5%
52.6%
P2
54.5%
42.3%
P3
53.4%
51.9%
OT
55.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.2%
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2010 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Mike Modano |
| Oct 12, 2010 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2010 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2010 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2010 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Mike Modano |